Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 225.819867 274.327158 336.123236 422.942011 545.858638 7.207451e+02 1003.348185
2025-01-05 160.112928 211.012477 284.685264 406.111912 618.018404 1.015622e+03 1976.017260
2025-01-12 131.243123 182.050645 261.975314 409.394824 712.233337 1.440937e+03 4222.398670
2025-01-19 111.118293 159.488766 240.039990 401.194778 777.224768 1.905119e+03 9218.596317
2025-01-26 103.451216 154.262327 244.574455 443.798672 992.373876 3.285139e+03 56468.178330
2025-02-02 100.552741 156.023492 261.728014 522.171313 1404.283610 7.603847e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 90.592738 143.194207 246.799299 516.484632 1538.199570 1.178730e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 83.749293 134.923235 239.252835 527.366573 1768.721155 2.256868e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 77.721081 127.231531 231.174785 533.500313 2003.012679 4.915361e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 73.054284 121.502862 226.252051 547.664452 2332.386933 1.757871e+05 NaN
2025-03-09 68.677406 115.745641 220.068631 555.382669 2662.491864 1.861496e+06 NaN
2025-03-16 63.709748 108.181142 208.154701 538.290511 2776.608181 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 61.597980 106.813410 212.619220 590.637573 3851.154238 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 56.510522 98.569943 198.115785 562.023893 3949.951135 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 53.243992 93.884987 192.124047 567.164872 4637.259027 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 49.793073 88.396176 182.954211 554.108611 5028.846701 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 49.022248 88.767276 190.013552 622.530742 8112.447305 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 49.374777 91.739285 205.420412 752.287825 19072.421306 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 46.726072 87.317733 197.528581 742.706793 22908.963030 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 44.835154 84.519342 194.222403 761.063273 33334.453396 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 42.973324 81.600815 190.005431 771.451359 48298.211836 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 41.468777 79.410539 187.782340 795.552739 84295.577585 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 39.923191 76.969034 184.295947 808.752005 149991.743764 NaN NaN